The first thing we think when someone who is not operating from any party says He will be a political leader is that they must be deluded.
If you are logical, you will ask, what is the probability of this, does it exist? If you are non-scientific, you assume it’s a joke.
To be sane, it’s best to evaluate the past and see if something of this nature has ever happened before. If it did, then the probability is not zero, though it may still seem highly improbable.
Has it ever happened before? Yes. Here are a few examples.
1. United States: The most famous example of this happening in the United States was in the 1968 Democratic presidential primary, where Vice President Hubert Humphrey was nominated as the party’s candidate for president even though he did not participate in any of the primaries. At that time, the Democratic Party had a system of “unpledged delegates” who were not bound to vote for any particular candidate, and Humphrey was able to secure the nomination with their support.
2. Canada: In the 1988 federal election, the Progressive Conservative Party of Canada, the then ruling party, had a leadership contest to choose a new leader after Brian Mulroney stepped down as party leader and Prime minister. The contest was held behind closed doors, and the winner, Kim Campbell, was chosen by the party’s MPs, not by the party members or through a primary election.
3. France: In the 2002 presidential election, the center-right party, the Union for a Popular Movement (UMP), held a primary election to choose their candidate for president. However, the UMP’s leader, Jacques Chirac, was able to secure the nomination without winning the primary by striking a deal with the primary’s winner, François Bayrou.
4. Italy: In the 2013 general election, the center-left Democratic Party (PD) held a primary election to choose their candidate for prime minister. However, after the primary, the PD’s leader, Pier Luigi Bersani, was unable to form a government, and the president appointed an unelected technocratic government led by Mario Monti.
5. Russia: In the 2000 Presidential election, President Boris Yeltsin appointed Vladimir Putin as his successor and prime minister, Putin was not elected by the citizens through a traditional election process, but rather, the president appointed him.
If it has happened before, it is not out of order to believe it can happen again. The probability may be low, but nothing is too difficult for God.
